Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.212286 0.241239 0.272276 0.307973 0.347843 0.390955 0.441049
2026-02-01 0.170679 0.208856 0.252499 0.305908 0.369321 0.442010 0.531441
2026-02-08 0.141593 0.184732 0.236853 0.304090 0.388118 0.489216 0.619570
2026-02-15 0.119904 0.165677 0.223769 0.302272 0.404857 0.533545 0.706259
2026-02-22 0.106346 0.154664 0.218721 0.308890 0.431390 0.590697 0.811973
2026-03-01 0.093126 0.142091 0.209699 0.308522 0.447647 0.634597 0.902442
2026-03-08 0.082459 0.131567 0.201979 0.308531 0.463495 0.678006 0.994041
2026-03-15 0.073726 0.122683 0.195395 0.309032 0.479332 0.721575 1.087665
2026-03-22 0.067507 0.116801 0.192437 0.314189 0.501708 0.775101 1.197859
2026-03-29 0.062790 0.112682 0.191595 0.322152 0.528361 0.835878 1.321464
2026-04-05 0.057612 0.107169 0.187919 0.325127 0.547191 0.885640 1.430906
2026-04-12 0.053621 0.103189 0.186249 0.330950 0.570521 0.943092 1.554554
2026-04-19 0.050269 0.100107 0.186001 0.339420 0.599223 1.011403 1.700341
2026-04-26 0.045630 0.094175 0.180316 0.338195 0.611825 1.054898 1.809381
2026-05-03 0.041483 0.088670 0.174826 0.336742 0.623736 1.097674 1.919249
2026-05-10 0.037761 0.083543 0.169501 0.335029 0.634869 1.139491 2.029376
2026-05-17 0.035626 0.081316 0.169287 0.342441 0.662238 1.209592 2.189607
2026-05-24 0.032744 0.077216 0.165121 0.342117 0.675624 1.256428 2.312658
2026-05-31 0.030193 0.073511 0.161355 0.342168 0.689526 1.304626 2.440064
2026-06-07 0.027942 0.070192 0.158031 0.342740 0.704276 1.354839 2.573068
2026-06-14 0.026396 0.068266 0.157352 0.348413 0.728866 1.423608 2.741705
2026-06-21 0.025252 0.067130 0.158197 0.357160 0.759772 1.505127 2.936572
2026-06-28 0.023711 0.064877 0.156457 0.360429 0.780104 1.568116 3.100557